Growing up, I always loved watching the Oscars. As a child, I had no idea what any of the movies were or who the actors/actresses were, but I loved getting to stay up late on a school night to watch.
As I grew up and stopped going to the movies, I cared about these award shows less and less. Then came MoviePass (and then eventually, for me, AMC’s A-List). This year, I’ve seen so many of the movies nominated that I actually do care again.
Now, I know this year’s Oscars are fraught with problems, just like always. From Bradley Cooper’s best director snub to movies like Eighth Grade and The Hate U Give not being recognized at all, there are definitely some questionable nominations here.
Anyway, I’m no movie expert, but I thought it would be fun to predict some of the winners. As I was making my predictions, I realized I haven’t seen a lot of these movies… But I did my best. So here goes:
“A Star Is Born”
I’m not super sure about this category. I haven’t seen Green Book, but it’s been winning awards all season. I think this award will either go to Green Book or Roma (or maybe A Star Is Born to make up for Bradley Cooper’s directing snub).
Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
I think this will probably (and hopefully) go to Rami considering he’s won best actor at every major awards show so far, but it’s possible that Christian will win instead.
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Again, not sure about this category, but Glenn Close seems like a safe bet.
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
I think Mahershala Ali will continue on with his supporting actor spree. None of the other names on this list seem super exciting to me.
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Haven’t seen Beale Street, but I think this one will go to Regina King or Rachel Weisz, and I’m leaning more towards Regina currently.
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
Haven’t seen Roma, but I’ve gotta root for the director of the best Harry Potter movie.
“Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
If Spider-Man doesn’t win, I swear…
“Animal Behaviour,” Alison Snowden, David Fine
“Bao,” Domee Shi
“Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
“One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
“Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez
I feel like animated shorts always go to the Pixar/Disney short if there is one.
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
I thought A Star Is Born was great and they did a great job modernizing the story.
“The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay
Somehow still haven’t seen The Favourite, but somehow I know that it’s better than the rest.
“Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
“Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique
Best Documentary Feature:
“Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
“Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
“Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
“RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen
I’ve heard nothing but amazing things about Free Solo, so I wouldn’t be surprised if that one takes home a bunch of awards.
Best Documentary Short Subject:
“Black Sheep,” Ed Perkins
“End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
“Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
“A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
“Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi
Again, Period. End of Sentence. is another one I’ve heard a lot about.
Best Live Action Short Film:
“Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
“Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
“Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
“Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
“Skin,” Guy Nattiv
I don’t know about any of these, but the Academy sure does love old white women.
Best Foreign Language Film:
“Cold War” (Poland)
“Never Look Away” (Germany)
I would be very shocked if Roma doesn’t win this.
“BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
“Vice,” Hank Corwin
“Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay
I think this will definitely go to A Quiet Place or First Man, but I think A Quiet Place was slightly more impressive.
“A Star Is Born”
I’m not sure that Bohemian Rhapsody will actually win this, but I hope it does. Getting Freddie’s voice right was no small feat and I think their sound team did a great job. In the non-studio recorded songs, his voice is a combination of his actual voice (if they had audio), Marc Martel, and Rami’s voice and I think they blended it all together very well. I also like how they were able to use high-quality audio from Live Aid, which I assume they must have had to remaster.
“Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
I don’t know if Mary Poppins will actually win, but I am in love with the aesthetic of that movie, especially the London scenes.
“BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
Since First Man somehow isn’t on this list, despite it being a fantastic score, I’m gonna have to go with Black Panther I guess.
“All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
Okay, “A Cover Is Not The Book” is the best song from Mary Poppins so I’m actually pretty salty about it not being the nominated song. But I think Shallow should win in this current line-up.
Makeup and Hair:
“Mary Queen of Scots”
Christian Bale. That’s all.
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne
The costumes in Black Panther were actually pretty remarkable, so I’m hoping they get recognized for them.
“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
This could go to any of these movies I think, but I’m gonna go with Infinity War.